Finance · level 2
NPV of a short cash-flow strip
Learn three discount factors by heart for the rate in play and an NPV becomes three multiplications and a subtraction. At 10% they are 0.91, 0.83 and 0.75.
Worked example: Invest $7M today; receive $4M, $2M, $5M in years 1–3. NPV at 12%?
year 1$4M → $3.57M
year 2$2M → $1.59M
year 3$5M → $3.56M
NPV$1.72M
Step by step
- 1
Year 1
$4M × 0.89 = $3.57M
- 2
Year 2
$2M × 0.8 = $1.59M
- 3
Year 3
$5M × 0.71 = $3.56M
- 4
Sum the present values
$8.72M
- 5
Less the outlay
− $7M → NPV $1.72M
- 6
Decision
Positive NPV — the project clears the hurdle.
Invest $7M today; receive $4M, $2M, $5M in years 1–3. NPV at 12%? = 1,724,718
The theory behind it
Intuition
NPV is value created after paying for the capital used. Positive means the project beats the next-best alternative at equal risk.
Common pitfalls
- ×Including sunk costs.
- ×Ignoring changes in working capital, which are real cash.
In the interview
The final 'so should they do it?' number in an investment case.