Statistics for finance · level 1
Weighted mean (portfolio return)
A portfolio return is a weighted mean: each weight times its return, added up. Do it as percentage blocks — 60% of 9 is 5.4 — never as a plain average of the returns.
Worked example: Portfolio: 60% at 9%, 40% at 3%. Portfolio return?
60% weight9% → 5.4%
40% weight3% → 1.2%
portfolio6.6%
Step by step
- 1
Weighted mean, not a plain average
r_p = Σ wᵢ rᵢ
- 2
Sleeve 1
60% × 9% = 5.4%
- 3
Sleeve 2
40% × 3% = 1.2%
- 4
Add the contributions
6.6%
Portfolio: 60% at 9%, 40% at 3%. Portfolio return? = 6.6
The theory behind it
Intuition
A weighted mean is the only correct average when the items differ in size — portfolio return is weights times returns, never a simple average.
Common pitfalls
- ×Averaging percentages of differently sized bases.
- ×Weights that do not sum to one.
In the interview
Blended margin, blended price and portfolio-return rounds.