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Finance · level 2

IRR of a lump-sum payoff

For one outlay and one payoff the IRR is just the multiple annualised. Berk & DeMarzo's warning: IRR agrees with NPV only for a conventional, stand-alone project — never rank mutually exclusive projects on it.

Worked example: Invest $7M today and receive a single $10.5M in 2 years. What is the IRR?

invest$7M
payoff$10.5M
years2
IRR22.47%

Step by step

  1. 1

    Multiple

    $10.5M / $7M = 1.5×

  2. 2

    Annualise

    1.5^(1/2) − 1 = 22.47%

  3. 3

    Rule of 72 check

    A 1.5× in 2 years is less than a doubling; 72 / 2 = 36% would be exactly 2×.

  4. 4

    Decision rule

    Accept if IRR > cost of capital — only when cash flows are conventional (one sign change) and projects are not mutually exclusive.

Invest $7M today and receive a single $10.5M in 2 years. What is the IRR? = 22.5

The theory behind it

Intuition

Finance is time and risk applied to cash: move every cash flow to the same date at a rate that reflects its risk, then compare.

Common pitfalls

  • ×Discounting a nominal flow at a real rate (or vice versa).
  • ×Mixing enterprise-value and equity-value numbers in the same ratio.

In the interview

Valuation, WACC, LBO and accretion rounds — where a wrong bridge is a wrong answer.