← All techniques

Finance · level 3

Free cash flow agency cost

Put a number on empire building: capital invested below the cost of capital destroys its spread-to-WACC ratio in value. Knowing the size makes the governance fix (payout, debt, board control) concrete.

Worked example: A cash-rich firm reinvests all $700M of annual free cash flow for 5 years in acquisitions earning 6% against a 10% cost of capital. Roughly how much value does that destroy (perpetuity approximation)?

FCF/yr$700M
ROIC vs WACC6% vs 10%
capital deployed$3.5B
value destroyed$1.4B

Step by step

  1. 1

    Capital misallocated

    $700M × 5 = $3.5B

  2. 2

    Value gap per dollar

    (ROIC − WACC) / WACC = (6% − 10%) / 10% = −40%

  3. 3

    Value destroyed

    $3.5B × 40% = $1.4B

  4. 4

    Jensen's free cash flow theory

    Cash beyond positive-NPV needs tempts managers to grow the empire. Debt service and payouts are the bonding devices that remove the temptation.

A cash-rich firm reinvests all $700M of annual free cash flow for 5 years in acquisitions earning 6% against a 10% cost of capital. Roughly how much value does that destroy (perpetuity approximation)? = 1,400,000,000

The theory behind it

Intuition

Finance is time and risk applied to cash: move every cash flow to the same date at a rate that reflects its risk, then compare.

Common pitfalls

  • ×Discounting a nominal flow at a real rate (or vice versa).
  • ×Mixing enterprise-value and equity-value numbers in the same ratio.

In the interview

Valuation, WACC, LBO and accretion rounds — where a wrong bridge is a wrong answer.